Here's the core of the matter, Ohio. Many pundits say no one can win the Presidency without Ohio. But, is there an alternate path to victory for Mitt Romney? It is a bit more edgy route, but I say yes. Ohio is a key tipping point. Yet, with the surge of Romney in many battleground and other states, the premise of a different path is promising.
|RED=Romney BLUE=Obama YELLOW=Toss up|
Most of the states are locked in with who they will select. States like California, Illinois, New York, Maryland and Delaware have consistently polled for Obama. Likewise theses states have long been solid red for Romney, including: Texas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Arkansas, Kansas and others.
Remember, a candidate must earn 270 Electoral votes to win. As of today's poll numbers it will be close. So, here we go.
There are eleven core battleground states in play. Including: Florida, Virginia, Ohio, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Iowa, Colorado, Nevada, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
For the sake of this scenario, let's concede Pennsylvania, Nevada and Michigan to progressive Obama. They would be great wins, but are distant possibilities due to the limited time remaining. Considering current polling and this scenario, let's also concede beloved Ohio.
How can Romney win enough Electoral votes without winning Ohio? Romney is surging in toss up states including: Virginia, Florida, New Hampshire, and Colorado. He is breaking about even in Wisconsin. Winning all of these battleground states will put Romney just over the top with 271 Electoral votes. Close, but a win is a win.
Yes, this scenario has more of an 'edge of your seat' feel, but based on polling and Electoral count, victory does have a back door. Let's work to take Ohio, so this path is not necessary.