Tuesday, May 15, 2012


Ron Paul has been limping along as a candidate versus front runner Mitt Romney for the Republican Presidential nomination.  Texas Congressman Paul has persisted as the outlier since Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich and others suspended their campaigns.

A recent letter to his supporters marks the first discernible statement by Paul to curtail his hunt for the nomination.  One key statement from the letter from Paul is as follows, 
"Our campaign will continue to work in the state convention process. We will continue to take leadership positions, win delegates, and carry a strong message to the Republican National Convention that Liberty is the way of the future."
Based on this and other statements it is clear that Ron Paul is looking to garner political 'ammo' leading up to the RNC Convention in Tampa.  Paul has used a strategy that was based on collecting delegates from states that had non-binding caucuses.  Paul's campaign and supporters were able to go directly to state conventions, win delegates from the convention floor and over time accumulate delegates for the nomination. 

Although his strategy was once for the nomination, it is apparent Ron Paul is looking for clout as Mitt Romney moves towards securing the nomination.  There are a couple of key points to consider for Ron Paul:
  • He will be asking for a prime time slot to address the RNC Convention.
  • He will assert his delegates to insert his positions into the party platform.
  • He is ending his term as Congressman this year.  Will he find a role in Romney's administration?

A look at the delegate count shows the imminence of Romney's nomination.  Currently, the GOP Presidential delegate count stands as:  Mitt Romney 970, Rick Santorum 263, Newt Gingrich 141, and Ron Paul with 101.  1,144 delegates are required to earn the Republican nomination for President.  Romney only needs 174.  As opposed to Ron Paul who needs 1,043.

So, the question.  Will he run independently?  If he did, he would have to go it alone.  Both the Libertarian Party and the Constitutional Party have selected their respective candidates.  Money wise, Ron Paul's campaign has only $1.8 million on hand.  Hardly enough to launch a national, independent Presidential campaign.  And, the bottom line as to why he would not run.  Paul would not want to cause a further rift in party politics with the thought of tarnishing the political aspirations of his son, Ron Paul.  So, game over Mr. Paul.

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