Sunday, April 1, 2012

TAM PREDICTOR SELECTS ROMNEY TO WIN WISCONSIN & POTOMAC REGION

Just a month ago, the polls were tight and the upcoming GOP races were very close to call.  My what a couple of weeks will do to political polling.  

Polling indicates significant swings favoring Mitt Romney in this Tuesday's primaries in Wisconsin, Maryland and the District of Columbia.  All three are winner take all delegate primaries.

The TAM (The American Maverick) Predictor selects Mitt Romney to win the Wisconsin primary.  Polling indicates a definite swing for Romney over the past 2 weeks.  Also, he just received the endorsement of Congressman Paul Ryan of Wisconsin.  We call the race for Romney winning by a margin of 9%.  With the win he will pick up all 42 delegates.  Here's the Wisconsin call:
  1. Romney +9%
  2. Santorum
  3. Paul
  4. Gingrich
The TAM Predictor selects Mitt Romney to win the Potomac region GOP primaries as well.  Polling has been consistently strong for Romney in Maryland.  Indications from the District of Columbia also show a win for Romney.  Both primaries are winner take all with 37 delegates for Maryland and 19 delegates for D.C.  Here's the combined call for Maryland and D.C.:
  1. Romney +14%
  2. Santorum
  3. Gingrich
  4. Paul
The TAM Predictor is a election prediction feature for upcoming elections, primaries, caucuses, etc.  Real polling data is used to determine an aggregate score to select a candidate's outcome.  The TAM Predictor only uses polling data produced within 36 hours of the election.  Data sources may include:  Rasmussen, Real Clear Politics, PPP, Quinnipiac, Gallup, Survey USA, and others.  This methodology is key in identifying momentum of a candidate in the final days.   The TAM Predictor has a 94% accuracy. 

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