Tuesday brings five more contests for the Republican Presidential candidates. There is a combination of large and small states primarily from the northeast. A total of 231 delegates are at stake.
Mitt Romney continues as the 'presumed' GOP nominee. Since Rick Santorum's campaign has suspended, Romney continued to add to leads in all five states. Although Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul continue to serve as candidates, they have received only slight gains since Santorum's departure. Nationally, Romney has secured a marginal lead over Obama in most all polls.
As it may seem somewhat irrelevant to make the call for Tuesday's upcoming GOP primaries, The American Maverick Predictor will continue to select candidates for each nomination election until a candidate wins the required delegates. The minimum required to achieve the Republican nomination is 1.144.
Officially, The TAM Predictor selects Mitt Romney to win all five states for the April 24 Republican nomination contests. Polling indicates Romney has a commanding lead in the five states. His margin of victory will be a little slim in Pennsylvania as voters allegiance to Rick Santorum may be a factor. Some of the states are proportional, so if Romney would not achieve 50% of the vote in New York, Gingrich and/or Paul may pick up a few delegates.
Here's the current Republican delegate count per RCP election source as of April 23rd:
- Mitt Romney: 656
- Rick Santorum: 272 (Suspended)
- Newt Gingrich: 140
- Ron Paul: 67
Currently, Mitt Romney needs 488 delegates to win the Republican nomination.
The TAM Predictor is a election prediction feature for upcoming elections, primaries, caucuses, etc. Real polling data is used to determine an aggregate score to select a candidate's outcome. The TAM Predictor only uses polling data produced within 36 hours of the election. Data sources may include: Rasmussen, Real Clear Politics, PPP, Quinnipiac, Gallup, Survey USA, and others. This methodology is key in identifying momentum of a candidate in the final days. The TAM Predictor has a 95% accuracy.