The American Maverick Predictor (TAM) is rolling out Super Tuesday projections for the Republican Presidential primaries and caucuses. On March 1st, 12 states will make a decision for Presidential nominee. Most all states are proportional. Meaning, even if a candidate places second, they may still collect a considerable
Donald Trump is in very strong position to win most all of the 12 Super Tuesday states. The latest polling clearly has Trump leading outside of a margin of error in 9 out 12 states. Trump looks to win in the Northeastern, Southern and Mid-West states.
Senator Ted Cruz and Senator Mark Rubio are close in many states for second and third place. Cruz is sustaining solid polling to win his home state of Texas. Rubio's only chance to win a state is Minnesota.
Ohio Governor Kasich and surgeon Ben Carson are laggards. They are a very distant fourth and fifth place in polling from all 12 states. Political pundits suggest Carson may not continue after Super Tuesday. Kasich may stay in the race till his home state of Ohio has the March 12th primary.
- TAM Predictor forecasts Donald Trump to win 9 of 12 states on Super Tuesday.
- Senator Ted Cruz will win Texas.
- Senator Rubio has a narrow chance to win the progressive state of Minnesota.
- Arkansas stands as the only toss up state.
Note: This is a projection of winners, not an endorsement of any candidate. The American Maverick Predictor uses polling data of the most recent polls taken within the last two weeks preceding Super Tuesday. This method rules out old data and takes into account sudden swings in trends for candidates.